• Need2Know, by Cheddar
  • Posts
  • French weather service alerts police to tampering after suspicious Polymarket bets

French weather service alerts police to tampering after suspicious Polymarket bets

Plus: We spoke with Amazon about their 2025 economic impact report

In partnership with

Vote for the winner of this week’s world-famous news haiku competition™ in today’s poll.

And now, news!

Matt Davis — Need2Know Chedditor

News You Need2Know

What’s the stock market up to, eh?*

Companies mentioned in today’s newsletter

French weather service alerts police to tampering after suspicious Polymarket bets

(Getty Images)

Tired of losing your crypto wagers because of pesky things like "reality" and "actual weather?" Well, some enterprising prediction market degenerates have allegedly found the ultimate life hack: Just physically tamper with the thermometer.

French weather agency Météo-France has officially called the cops after noticing highly unnatural temperature spikes at the Paris-Charles de Gaulle airport on April 6 and April 15. Coincidentally, the betting platform Polymarket $POLYMARKET ( 0.0% ) uses this exact weather station's data to settle daily wagers on Paris’s highest temperature.

At first, online weather sleuths gave nature the benefit of the doubt. Sébastien Brana, who runs the Infoclimat forum, told the Financial Times: “We thought it was an issue with the sensors . . . You can have sudden temperature changes at sundown when there is a storm as well. But the weather situation didn’t explain what was happening.”

No kidding, Sébastien! He added, “It became clear there was something else going on when it happened again on April 15.”

That "something else" looks like blatant market manipulation, with one psychic genius turning a $30 long-shot bet into $13,990 just as the temperature magically surged on April 6. Another bettor turned $119 into over $21,000 during a similar four-degree spike on April 15.

For context, another Polymarket account named "Magamyman" reportedly turned an $87,000 wager into over half a million dollars by betting on Iran-related conflicts.

It is what it is.

Météo-France said they filed a police complaint “in light of physical findings on one of our instruments and the analysis of sensor data.”

Très bien!

Quote of the Day

"Our goal is to make sure that every customer can receive those items in two days or less.”

Inside Amazon’s economic impact

Think your Amazon $AMZN ( ▼ 0.11% ) habit is just about late-night retail therapy? Think again!

Holly Sullivan at Amazon dropped by to remind us that those cardboard boxes are actually fuel for a massive economic engine. In 2025 alone, Amazon poured over $340 billion into the U.S. economy, she said.

That’s obviously a lot more than the $55 million cost of Jeff Bezos’s’s’s’s second wedding.

"Since 2010, we've invested $1.8 trillion in the U.S. Economy," Sullivan noted, with the company creating 2 million jobs, including, as Holly puts it, "1 million indirect jobs in total" alongside their direct workforce. 

Amazon has invested $4 billion into rural delivery networks to ensure that even if you live in the middle of nowhere, you can get your essentials in a flash.

"Our goal is to make sure that every customer can receive those items in two days or less," Holly said. From AI-powered data centers to drone deliveries, Amazon is "raising the bar and delivering for our customers," Holly said. 

Next time you order a single pack of gum at 2 AM, just remember: You're a job creator™. Of course, you could also head downstairs and give the business to your local bodega, if you’re me. But that wouldn’t sound as impressive, now, would it?

We talked to a drone boss about going public

Forget the tech bros in hoodies; the new era of defense is here, and it’s led by Roger Wells, the CEO of AEVEX $AVEX ( ▲ 5.3% ) Aerospace. We caught up with him on the day of their IPO to see what it’s like to trade battlefield tech for ticker symbols.

AEVEX focuses on building drones for the "modern battlefield." As Wells puts it, "you have to move at the speed of operational relevance, and you have a modular, flexible, open system that can accommodate the changing dynamic of the battlefield." 

Essentially, their tech is built for when things go south: "We go into every design knowing that GPS won’t be there, communications will be compromised... you have to be able to operate in those contested environments,” he said.

Evidently it’s persuasive, because the stock is up 20% since the float.

So why go public now? Wells explains it’s about scale and "attracting the best talent." With plans to deliver over 9,000 systems to Ukraine by the end of 2026, they need the capital. For Wells, success in this post-IPO world means: "Continuing to provide quality solutions at scale to our customers on timelines that are operationally relevant." 

Song of the Day: Nai Palm, ‘So Into You’

A crossroad is better than a crossfire. That’s the theme of this strutting 2018 jam with laid-back, spontaneous vibes and a nod to ‘90s R&B. Enjoyez-vous!

SpaceX strikes $60 billion deal with AI-startup

(Getty Images)

Elon Musk’s SpaceX has inked a massive deal with AI startup Cursor, to build a next-generation “coding and knowledge work AI.”

Translation? Elon doesn’t like where his in-house AI is going and decided to buy a better model to compete with the likes of OpenAI and Anthropic. Given that he’s the richest man in the world, that sounds like a smart enough strategy, doesn’t it?

SpaceX has casually tossed in an option to just buy Cursor outright for $60 billion later this year. If a full buyout doesn’t come to fruition, SpaceX will just pay Cursor a measly $10 billion for their hard work. This all comes after Cursor’s valuation violently skyrocketed from $2.5 billion to nearly $30 billion in less than a year.

If you were hoping for some juicy insider reactions, you are sadly out of luck because no actual humans were quoted in the reporting of this megadeal! Instead, we only have SpaceX's robotic corporate statement, which noted the partnership combines Cursor’s “product and distribution to expert software engineers” with SpaceX’s Colossus supercomputer.

Pretty soon robots will be running the entire company anyway, so it’s probably appropriate.

You can buy the Scarface house in Florida for a mere quarter of a billion bucks

(Jill Eber/Judy Zeder/1 OAK Studios)

Got $237 million burning a hole in your pocket? Good news: You can now buy the legendary Key Biscayne mansion that served as drug lord Frank Lopez's estate in the 1983 movie Scarface.

The current owner, investor John Devaney, bought the place in 2003 in the most aggressively wealthy way imaginable. He spotted the property's massive helipad during a helicopter-flying lesson, casually touched down, and knocked on the door with an offer. Flush with cash, a $36 million private jet, and a $22 million yacht named Positive Carry, he just had to have a parking spot for his aircraft.

Devaney is quite the character. In 2009, Time magazine named him one of the "25 People to Blame for the Financial Crisis" — a title he actually embraces. He boasts that he is “quite proud” to be on the list, noting, “There were four or five presidents on that list,” he told the Wall Street Journal “And then little ol’ John Devaney.”

As the self-appointed “‘keep it original’ police,” Devaney preserved the home's 1980s aesthetic, right down to the bold green, orange, and yellow wall-mounted toilets. He notes that visiting Scarface fans “all want to ride in the stainless steel and glass elevator and take photos.” 

Sure enough, here’s that elevator with Michelle Pfeiffer in it, from the movie…

(“Scarface”)

So why sell this cinematic monument (which was also ironically part of Richard Nixon's Winter White House compound)? Devaney says it's time to let "someone else take a turn, one of these real big dogs in the market.”

Which, I think, might mean he needs the cash. And there’s probably a few buyers out there who might want to take a look at it, right now, before their crypto bubbles burst.

Free yourself from advertising forever!

Now you can sign up for an optional ad-free version of Need2Know! Subscribe for just $5 a month, or $50 a year, and you can continue to enjoy this reasonably high-quality newsletter uninterrupted. Bonus: The immense satisfaction that comes from supporting journalism*!

*This counts as journalism, right?

ADVERTISEMENT

The Biggest Names in Food Are Testing This New Tech

What do the world’s three biggest foodservice providers, the biggest food manufacturer, and some of the industry’s most beloved brands have in common?

They’re all partnering with Automated Retail Technologies (ART) to serve food without kitchens or delivery.

With ART’s Just Baked™ automated robotic kiosks, serving peoples’ favorite meals 24/7 is affordable and easy. That’s why the foodservice giants Aramark, Sodexo, Sysco, and Compass Group joined Nestlé and White Castle as ART partners.

And ART’s 800 units deployed currently only scratches the surface of their growth plans. They have 400 more units ready for immediate deployment, 340,000+ additional targeted locations, and a leadership team that knows exactly what it takes to scale. In other words, ART is perfectly positioned.

This is a paid advertisement for Automated Retail Technologies Regulation CF offering. Please read the offering circular at https://invest.automatedrt.com/

END OF ADVERTISEMENT

Should you check your 401(k) today?

👎️ 

No.

Poll of the day: It’s world-famous-575™ time

Choose a winning haiku based on the premise that wealthy New Yorkers say the tax on second homes is hurting the city's "Philanthropic Class."

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

Poll of the day: Breaches are a cause for concern

We asked: Are you concerned about Anthropic's security based on recent breaches?

🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 Yes! If the AI specifically designed with 'advanced cyber security capabilities' can get breached by a random third-party contractor, what hope do the rest of us have? (193)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ Nah, I'm not worried. I always assume a $380 billion tech company's best defense strategy is blaming 'human error' for leaving top-secret AI descriptions sitting in a publicly accessible data cache. (35)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ I'm totally unconcerned. I mean, accidentally leaking the internal source code for their Claude Code assistant to the public was obviously just a really generous, impromptu open-source project, right? (15)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ Very concerned. I'm starting to think the 'trusted handful' of partners like Apple, Microsoft, and CrowdStrike should probably be the ones protecting Anthropic, rather than the other way around. (46)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ I'm less concerned and more just jealous of the random vendor who used their permissions to take a super-powerful hacking AI out for a joyride. (37)

326 Votes via @beehiiv polls

Want more Cheddar? Watch us!

Search “Cheddar” on Samsung, YouTube TV, and most other streaming platforms.

N2K is the tip of of the cheeseberg for financial news, interviews, and more.

Need2Know is covered by Cheddar’s Terms of Service

P.S. So, you remember the cheese puns that used to open this newsletter? Suffice to say, they were divisive. Now, thanks to a thing called “dynamic content options,” I can offer you the option to see cheese puns again, if you’re one of the thousands who got in touch bemoaning their departure six months ago. All you need to do is answer “true” on this survey, and submit it. If you never want to see cheese puns in this newsletter again, don’t click that link, don’t fill out the survey, don’t submit it. Just keep reading and pretend this conversation never happened. Mmmkay? Thank you.